North Carolina State vs Virginia 10/22/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Carolina State winning 46% of simulations, and Virginia 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Carolina State commits fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Virginia wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. James Washington is averaging 67 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Perry Jones is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 52

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